Appendix D: Killer Cards Revisited (Abridged)

Abridged from Tim Showalter's original version which includes more details nobody wants.

Super/System 2 contains a chart called Lyle Berman's Killer Cards Chart (page 461). This chart explores a flaw in simple outs: just because you hit your hand doesn't mean your opponent won't make a better one.

Berman didn't show his work, so I recalculated it. My numbers match his. I have included a chart for Hold 'Em as well as Omaha. (Hopefully these charts didn't get mangled from the translation from HTML, to Markdown, to LaTeX!)

These charts broadly covers most cases, but not all. Runner-runner events (the turn completes my flush against your set, but the river pairs the board filling you up) are not adequately explored by this table.